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Analytics & Measurement

Meridian GeoX

Also known as: GeoX

Meridian GeoX is the term practitioners use for the geo experimentation side of working with Google Meridian: designing matched test and control regions, running a media holdout or spend change, and using the measured lift to calibrate the model. Geography rather than the individual user is the unit of randomisation, so it works with aggregate data. The aim is to anchor mix model estimates in experimental evidence.

What it is

In a geo experiment, regions are split into comparable groups, one group keeps media as usual and the other is switched off or changed, and the difference in outcomes is the measured lift. GeoX describes this design and analysis workflow used alongside Meridian, where the experiment result becomes a prior or calibration point in the model. Naming varies between teams and tools, so it is worth confirming which design method or library someone means.

Why it matters

Mix models can be sensitive to correlated spend patterns and to the priors chosen, so an independent causal estimate is valuable. Geo tests supply that estimate from aggregated data, which keeps them usable under consent and tracking restrictions. Calibrating a model with a test shortens the argument about whether the numbers are believable.

How it works

You select candidate regions, match them on historical outcomes and size, work out the detectable effect for a given budget and duration, then apply the media change cleanly at region level. Lift is estimated with difference in differences, matched market or synthetic control methods, and the resulting incremental ROI or cost per acquisition is passed into the model as a calibration input.

When it applies

It applies when a channel can be switched or scaled by geography, regional outcome data is available, and the expected effect is large enough to detect inside a realistic test window.

Examples

  • Pausing video advertising in twenty matched cities for six weeks and comparing sales with the remaining regions.
  • Raising paid social budgets by half in a randomised set of regions to estimate marginal return.
  • Feeding a measured incremental cost per acquisition from a radio geo test into a mix model as the prior for radio.

How it is measured

  • Measured incremental lift with its confidence interval
  • Minimum detectable effect and statistical power at the planned duration
  • Pre-period match quality between test and control regions
  • Change in the model's posterior channel ROI after calibration

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